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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Purple Sox odds, picks and greatest bets – Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

The Baltimore Orioles (23-32) play the Boston Red Sox (21-34) Wednesday in the second game of a three-game set at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Orioles-Red Sox MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Boston leads 1-0.

Orioles at Red Sox: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Kremer: 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 in 16 IP over 3 starts.

Last start (Sept. 17): No-decision with 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 6 K and 3 BB in a 3-1 win against the Tampa Bay Rays. This is the 24-year-old rookie’s season and it’s his first start against the Red Sox.

Eovaldi: 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 in 42 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Last start (Sept. 17): Win, 5-3, with 5 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 7 K and 0 BB at the Miami Marlins. Career vs. Orioles: 5-1 with a 4.61 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 46 K and 23 BB in 54 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

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Orioles at Red Sox: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Orioles

1B Chris Davis (knee) out OF Anthony Santander (oblique) out SS Jose Iglesias (wrist) questionable

Red Sox

3B Christian Arroyo (back) questionable OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out 2B Yairo Munoz (back) out

Orioles at Red Sox: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Orioles 2

Money line (ML)

It’s pretty much a throwaway season for the Red Sox (-164), who are in the basement of the AL East. They beat the Orioles (+145) 8-3 Tuesday 8-3, but Baltimore is ahead of them in AL East standings, up 4-3 in the season series and is over its team win total for the first time since 2016.

While Boston seems done with 2020, Eovaldi has been dealing lately. Over his past three starts, Eovaldi is 2-0 with a 0.79 WHIP, striking out 17 batters with only one walk and two earned runs in 15 frames. The Red Sox are 4-0 in Eovaldi’s last four starts as a favorite and 4-0 in their last four games versus a right-handed starter.

We’re paying a premium but the RED SOX (-164) are worth it in this spot.

New to sports betting? A $82 bet on the Red Sox (-164) pays a $50 profit if Boston beats Baltimore.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Red Sox -1.5 (+125) have come alive a little over their past five games, scoring five or more runs in four of those games. Despite injuries and roster turnover, Boston’s lineup is still above average.

Baltimore’s lineup is average and the projected lineup slashes .254/.306/.448 against Eovaldi.

He has looked good lately and getting an extra quarter on the dollar to TAKE RED SOX -1.5 (+125) is worth it to me.

Over/Under (O/U)

With Eovaldi starting we’ll be sweating Boston’s lineup if we bet Under 9 (-110). This was the case in the one Eovaldi start against Baltimore that went Over the total (he has started two games against the Orioles in 2020).

The Red Sox creamed them, 13-2, in that game back on July 24. The Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings and 7-3-1 in the last 11 games at Fenway so I’ll LEAN Under 9 (-110).

A “lean” is not necessarily a bet. Proceed at your own caution.

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